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View Single Post  Topic: Pro Football Pick 'Em - Week Twelve 
Author Message
kimchiman
Rated R


PostPosted: Fri, 23 Nov 2007 00:13:00    Post Subject: Reply with quote

That is exactly how the over/under works. The odds makers add 1/2 a point because they make money from people winning and losing bets, not from ties. 1/2 a point makes ties impossible. The other thing to consider is that some scores appear more often than others. Multiples of 7, +3 are most common. So better to pick a team to score 10 points than 11 points. The other thing to consider is the weather. Bad rain or snow will usually lower the total amount of scoring, as will a blowout where one team tries to run out the clock and rest it's best players. On the other hand, teams like New England try to run up the score.
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